The ABCs of Behavioral Biases: Conclusion
We'll wrap our series, the ABCs of Behavioral Biases, by repeating our initial premise. Your own behavioral biases are often the greatest threat to your financial well-being. We hope we've demonstrated how this single statement can play out, and how often our survival-mode brains trick us into making financial calls that foil our own best interests.
But don't take our word for it. Just as we turn to robust academic evidence to guide our disciplined investment strategy, so do we turn to behavioral finance scholars' work to understand and employ effective defenses against your most aggressive behavioral biases.
If there weren't so much damage done, behavioral finance might be of merely academic interest. But given how often – and in how many ways – your fight-or-flight instincts collide with your rational investment plans, it's worth being aware of the tell-tale signs. Awareness will help you detect a behavioral bias that may be running roughshod over your higher reasoning.
Next Steps: Think Slow
Even once you’re familiar with the behavioral biases that stand between you and clear-heading thinking, you’ll probably still be routinely tempted to react to the fear, greed, doubt, recklessness, and similar hot emotions.
Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman helps us understand why in his book, “Thinking, Fast and Slow,” where he describes how we engage in System 1 (fast) and System 2 (slow) thinking: “In the picture that emerges from recent research, the intuitive System 1 is more influential than your experience tells you, and it is the secret author of many of the choices and judgments you make.”
In other words, we can’t help ourselves. When we think fast, our instincts tend to run the show; for better or worse, they’re the first thoughts that come to mind.
This is one reason an objective advisor can be such a critical ally, helping you move past your System 1 thinking into more deliberate decision-making for your long-term goals. (On the flip side, financial providers who are themselves fixated on picking hot stocks or timing the market on your behalf are more likely to exacerbate than alleviate your most dangerous biases.)
Investors of “Ordinary Intelligence”
Berkshire Hathaway Chairman and CEO Warren Buffett is a businessman, not a behavioral economist. But he does have a way with words. We’ll wrap with a bit of his timeless wisdom:
“Success in investing doesn’t correlate with I.Q. once you’re above the level of 25. Once you have ordinary intelligence, what you need is the temperament to control the urges that get other people into trouble in investing.”
If you can remember this cool-headed thinking the next time you’re tempted to act on your investment instincts, Mr. Buffett’s got nothing on you (except perhaps a few billion dollars). But if you could use some help managing the behavioral biases that are likely lurking in your blind spot, give us a call. In combating that which you cannot see, two views are better than one.